Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 13.880044 16.198086 18.724893 21.676136 25.020453 28.684333 32.993620
2025-06-01 9.595195 12.649682 16.329032 21.049978 26.905125 33.884151 42.783288
2025-06-08 6.920389 10.090376 14.231745 19.955783 27.566487 37.231853 50.310961
2025-06-15 5.805535 9.186612 13.900513 20.807168 30.494453 43.399471 61.649363
2025-06-22 4.862123 8.288859 13.354188 21.168270 32.649376 48.582996 71.970890
2025-06-29 3.959530 7.256014 12.409902 20.756730 33.561481 52.011591 80.023215
2025-07-06 3.168871 6.237405 11.305356 19.906343 33.652688 54.168614 86.307517
2025-07-13 2.914490 6.073383 11.521452 21.110880 36.927631 61.174123 100.065177
2025-07-20 2.669644 5.877339 11.643033 22.146689 39.988647 68.025829 113.983814
2025-07-27 2.396032 5.574573 11.528092 22.747802 42.360984 73.929077 126.765059
2025-08-03 2.101259 5.173757 11.174628 22.875329 43.921805 78.607492 137.859998
2025-08-10 1.778104 4.650515 10.513869 22.359771 44.304976 81.358288 145.984689
2025-08-17 1.471707 4.125060 9.819434 21.790840 44.705040 84.437251 155.324737
2025-08-24 1.210258 3.648187 9.159461 21.227781 45.104388 87.624864 165.218708
2025-08-31 0.956367 3.121449 8.298300 20.136487 44.386589 88.788832 171.728897
2025-09-07 0.874415 3.024076 8.375733 20.996455 47.489596 96.948007 190.837996
2025-09-14 0.773006 2.845876 8.233807 21.360729 49.631960 103.485122 207.443074
2025-09-21 0.646217 2.556287 7.770206 20.946016 50.142636 107.009958 218.819866
2025-09-28 0.521144 2.231042 7.153311 20.088931 49.632659 108.539036 226.602054
2025-10-05 0.496889 2.234000 7.400151 21.302961 53.637755 119.016896 251.555721
2025-10-12 0.467317 2.210324 7.570123 22.346871 57.351282 129.130790 276.317188
2025-10-19 0.425472 2.129272 7.565105 22.952662 60.138228 137.557770 298.273377
2025-10-26 0.374224 1.995166 7.382311 23.081179 61.853236 143.916981 316.550819